Tuscany grows 0.8 percent as energy costs erode household gains
BDI Paper

Tuscany grows 0.8 percent as energy costs erode household gains

Tuscany's economy expanded 0.8 percent year on year in the first half of 2026, supported by consumption and tourism, the Bank of Italy estimates. Regional inflation reached 3.9 percent in September as energy costs increased.

Tourism supports an uneven recovery

Growth remained below Italy's pace but exceeded Tuscany's 2025 average.

Industry recovered slowly, construction decelerated and services remained weak outside tourism.

First-half exports rose 23.8 percent in nominal terms and 16.2 percent in real terms, almost entirely driven by precious metals.

Tourist nights increased 2.9 percent in January-July; foreign visitors' spending rose 14.4 percent.

First-half employment grew 0.2 percent and unemployment stood at 4.4 percent.

Real household disposable income increased 0.7 percent, against nominal growth of 3.0 percent; consumption rose 1.0 percent.

The report links rising energy costs to the United States-Iran conflict and the blockage of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.

Households drive the credit expansion

At June 2026, private non-financial bank lending grew 1.0 percent annually, while business loans fell 1.3 percent and small-firm loans fell 6.1 percent.

Household borrowing from banks and finance companies rose 3.5 percent; consumer credit grew 5.5 percent.

New mortgage lending fell 13.8 percent in the first half; June mortgage APR was 3.7 percent.

The annualized new impaired-loan rate averaged 1.3 percent over four quarters, and gross impaired loans were 3.3 percent of lending.

Deposits rose 1.5 percent and securities held in custody gained 12.2 percent annually.

Investment remains constrained

The report identifies uncertainty as a brake on investment despite generally solid corporate liquidity and profitability.

The share of firms anticipating losses rose to 16 percent from 10 percent in 2025.

Most industrial firms plan broadly unchanged investment in 2027.

Source: L'economia della Toscana - Update, November 2026

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