BDIPaper
Italy faces 3.2 percent inflation as growth reaches 0.9 percent
Italy's GDP will grow by 0.9 percent in 2026 while inflation reaches 3.2 percent, according to Bank of Italy projections published on October 16, 2026.
AI Paper Curation
BOCPaper
Commodity booms narrow the skilled-worker income gap
A 10 percent commodity price increase reduces the skilled-to-unskilled labor income gap by 2.1 percent after four years, Emilio Colombi finds.
BOCPaper
Offshoring divides US incumbent support along education lines
Offshoring increases incumbent support in graduate-heavy US counties but reduces it in manufacturing-heavy counties.
BOCPaper
Credible projections curb the inflation cost of looking through
Credible inflation and output projections make weaker responses to supply-driven inflation more effective in a Bank of Canada experiment.
BOCPaper
AI-sector episodes weigh most on UK financial return asymmetry
AI-sector scenarios make the largest contribution to downside asymmetry in UK financial returns, but little in Canada.
BDIPaper
BDIPaper
Italy faces 3.2 percent inflation as growth slows to 0.9 percent
Italy's economy will grow by 0.9 percent in 2026 while inflation reaches 3.2 percent, the Bank of Italy projects in its October 16, 2026 Economic Bulletin.
BISPaper
Offshore dollar demand weakens emerging-market spot exchange rates
A $1 billion offshore dollar-buying imbalance accompanies about 10 basis points of domestic currency depreciation in Bank for International Settlements (BIS) research published October 16, 2026.
BDEPaper
Concentrated land ownership favors mega solar plants
Land concentration predicts more large solar projects across six European countries, according to Bank of Spain research published October 16, 2026.
NORGESPaper
Cognitive discounting beats rational expectations in US model
US data favor cognitive discounting over rational expectations by 14.2 log points of marginal likelihood in Junior Maih's Norges Bank Working Paper 9/2026, published October 15, 2026.
BISPaper
Chokepoint shocks deepen output losses and raise producer prices
Chokepoint disruptions cause greater output losses and price pressures than comparable shocks elsewhere, according to Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Bulletin No 138, published October 15, 2026.
NORGESPaper
Sticky new-home prices prolong sales and delay construction
New-home prices adjust more slowly than resale prices in Norway, finds Norges Bank Working Paper 8/2026, published October 15, 2026.