Koeda sees AI demand adding near-term price pressure in Japan
BIS Speech

Koeda sees AI demand adding near-term price pressure in Japan

Junko Koeda, a Bank of Japan Policy Board member, said AI-related demand could put upward pressure on Japanese prices in the short run. Her speech context identifies a meeting in Kumamoto on October 15, 2026.

AI enters the inflation outlook

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policy Board member Junko Koeda identified AI as the first of three perspectives guiding her assessment of economic activity and prices.

She said AI progress over the preceding six months, and even the preceding few months, had been rapid.

For Japan, she described a potential short-run increase in AI-related demand, including demand from overseas, accompanied by upward pressure on prices.

Over the longer run, she said AI could affect economic activity and prices in multiple ways and promised to elaborate later.

The supplied excerpt ends before that discussion and contains no policy-rate decision or explicit guidance on the next monetary policy action.

Kumamoto meeting follows earthquake

Koeda opened by offering condolences to those affected by the 2026 Kumamoto Earthquake and recognizing recovery and reconstruction efforts.

The speech context dates her meeting with local leaders to October 15, 2026, while the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) page lists October 20 as the delivery date.

The page links to a 21-page PDF and states that the views expressed belong to Koeda and do not necessarily reflect those of the BIS.

Price pressure is not guidance

Koeda distinguishes near-term demand pressure from AI's broader longer-term effects.

The excerpt does not quantify either channel or establish a net inflation impact.

It therefore supports no conclusion about the timing or size of a policy-rate change.

Source: Economic activity, prices, and monetary policy in Japan

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