Kazakhstan inflation falls to 9.3 percent as base rate reaches 16.25
Yerulan Zhamaubayev, First Deputy Governor of the National Bank of Kazakhstan, reported on October 13, 2026, that inflation had fallen for 12 consecutive months. The bank cut its base rate to 16.25 percent on September 4; September business activity stood at 50.4.
Stronger tenge supports disinflation
September inflation was 9.3 percent annually and 0.6 percent monthly.
Zhamaubayev cited monetary restraint, higher bank reserve requirements, gold-purchase mirroring, liquidity measures and government action.
The tenge gained 13.7 percent over nine months to KZT 440.5 per dollar.
Non-resident government securities holdings reached KZT 2.6 trillion, up KZT 786 billion.
National Fund currency sales totaled $2.8 billion; mirroring absorbed KZT 3.2 trillion.
The bank will retain exchange-rate flexibility.
The first-half current account surplus reached $2.4 billion.
Exports rose 25.4 percent to $55.3 billion, with gains across over 80 percent of product categories.
Goods and services imports rose 7.5 percent to $39.8 billion, mainly intermediate and investment goods.
Reserves and pension assets expand
Gross international reserves reached $132.9 billion in September.
Central bank reserves totaled $66.2 billion: $51.4 billion in gold and $14.8 billion in currency assets.
National Fund assets rose 4.3 percent to $66.7 billion, earning $2.2 billion over nine months.
UAPF pension assets grew 6.1 percent to KZT 26.6 trillion.
Contributions totaled KZT 2.2 trillion and investment income KZT 766.3 billion.
Early withdrawals were KZT 490 billion, including KZT 404 billion in the first half, before minimum savings thresholds increased.
Higher commodity prices also supported foreign currency supply.
Tenge savings lead deposit growth
August deposits rose 17.2 percent annually to KZT 50.2 trillion; tenge deposits grew 23.0 percent to KZT 41.0 trillion.
Deposit dollarization reached a record low, while business loans rose 14.2 percent to KZT 16.4 trillion, led by SMEs.
Zhamaubayev warned that domestic and external inflation risks persisted despite single-digit inflation.
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