AI adoption slows firm hiring while total employment holds steady
DKNB Paper

AI adoption slows firm hiring while total employment holds steady

Danish firms adopting artificial intelligence experienced an 11 percent drop in employment growth relative to trend, yet overall national employment remained resilient. Danmarks Nationalbank found that reduced hiring among younger, highly educated staff explains the firm-level slowdown.

Fewer hires curb firm expansion

Among Danish enterprises, 59 percent deploy artificial intelligence tools, led by the information and communication sector at 80 percent adoption.

Microdata from Danmarks Nationalbank indicates that firms adopting artificial intelligence during 2023 and 2024 saw employment growth fall 11 percent below baseline trends by mid-2025.

This moderation was concentrated in small and medium-sized enterprises with fewer than 100 employees, whereas larger enterprises maintained headcount trajectories.

The reduction stemmed entirely from curtailed recruitment of younger and university-educated professionals rather than staff layoffs.

In aggregate, this firm-level deceleration accounted for roughly 5,700 fewer hires across two years.

Labour turnover cushions macro impact

Macroeconomic data shows no systemic rise in unemployment, with total Danish employment expanding by nearly 90,000 persons since late 2022.

High labour market turnover has enabled workers not hired by AI-adopting firms to secure roles elsewhere, as one in five Danish workers changed jobs in 2025.

Wage growth has likewise remained unaffected, reflecting collective bargaining coverage and equal qualifications across sectors.

Furthermore, new business registrations picked up in 2025, especially across AI-intensive sectors.

A benign cushion, not a permanent shield

Denmark's fluid labour market currently masks the structural reallocation triggered by artificial intelligence.

However, relying on SME hiring cuts as a low-friction adjustment model will become unsustainable once adoption spreads across all sectors.

Policymakers must prepare for targeted upskilling before macroeconomic buffers erode.

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