Bank of Canada
Robust Monte Carlo tests for regime-switching models
Bank of Canada researchers developed new Monte Carlo likelihood-ratio tests for Markov switching models.
Focus
Inflation expectations edge up, spending plans subdued
The Bank of Canada's second-quarter 2026 Survey of Consumer Expectations shows a slight increase in near-term and longer-term inflation expectations.
Canadian business sentiment deteriorates, inflation outlook mixed
The Bank of Canada's second-quarter 2026 Business Outlook Survey reveals a deterioration in overall business sentiment and softer sales outlooks.
Latest
Canadian tariffs raise retail prices by 6%, pass-through incomplete
A Bank of Canada working paper finds that Canadian retaliatory tariffs on US imports led to a 6 percent increase in retail prices for affected goods.
BoC consults on monetary framework, finds support for 2% target
The Bank of Canada has published a report summarizing feedback from its consultations on the monetary policy framework.
BOC holds policy rate at 2.25 percent amid global risks
The Bank of Canada's Governing Council held its policy interest rate unchanged at 2.25 percent.
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Macklem warns global imbalances fuel financial stability risks
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem warned that widening global imbalances, particularly China's surplus and the US deficit, are fuelling financial stability risks.
Macklem warns global imbalances threaten stability
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem explained how global financial imbalances and uneven trade could threaten international stability.
AI economy grew over 2000% in 2024-25
A Bank of Canada working paper estimates quality-adjusted AI output grew over 2000% annually in 2024 and 2025.
Market Power, Privacy, Welfare: The Three Levers of CBDC Design
Bank of Canada researchers study the optimal design of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) in an economy where private payment providers monetize transaction data and may have market power.
Rural Canada: Banking competition and cash access thresholds
A Bank of Canada staff paper studies banking competition and access to cash and retail banking services in rural Canadian markets.
G7 central banks report on quantum tech risks, opportunities
The G7 Central Bank Quantum Technologies Working Group has published a report on the implications of quantum technologies for the financial system.