Bank of Canada
BOCNews
G7 cross-border exercise tests financial cyber resilience
The G7 Cyber Expert Group completed its 2026 Cross-Border Coordination Exercise on May 18, simulating a major cyber-attack across member jurisdictions.
Focus
BOCNews
Policy rate held at 2.25 percent as inflation risks linger
The policy interest rate remains at 2.25 percent following the Bank of Canada's July 2026 deliberations.
BOCData
Canadian GDP growth projected at 1.3 percent for 2026
Financial market participants surveyed by the Bank of Canada in June 2026 forecast Canadian real GDP growth of 1.3 percent for 2026 and 1.9 percent for 2027.
Latest
BOCPaper
AI augmentation pose central bank stabilization challenges
A Bank of Canada working paper published in July 2026 examines how AI augmentation and automation create short-term monetary policy stabilization challenges in a two-speed economy.
BOCPaper
Climate disasters force monetary policy trade-offs in Canada
A Bank of Canada working paper examines how natural disasters act as supply shocks, forcing central banks to balance output and inflation stabilization.
BOCPaper
Partisanship drives macro views while personal finances anchor reality
A new Bank of Canada working paper shows that macroeconomic expectations exhibit sharp partisan reversals around U.S. presidential elections, whereas personal financial expectations remain largely unaffected.
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BOCPaper
Payout-linked manager pay drives firm underinvestment
A new Bank of Canada working paper shows that manager compensation tied to total payouts induces endogenous short-termism and underinvestment.
BOCPaper
New model reveals sharp nonlinearity in bank credit provision
A new Bank of Canada staff working paper introduces a strategic stress-testing framework for Canada's Big Six banks.
BOCPaper
Robust Monte Carlo tests for regime-switching models
Bank of Canada researchers developed new Monte Carlo likelihood-ratio tests for Markov switching models.
BOCData
Inflation expectations edge up, spending plans subdued
The Bank of Canada's second-quarter 2026 Survey of Consumer Expectations shows a slight increase in near-term and longer-term inflation expectations.
BOCPaper
Canadian business sentiment deteriorates, inflation outlook mixed
The Bank of Canada's second-quarter 2026 Business Outlook Survey reveals a deterioration in overall business sentiment and softer sales outlooks.
BOCPaper
Canadian tariffs raise retail prices by 6%, pass-through incomplete
A Bank of Canada working paper finds that Canadian retaliatory tariffs on US imports led to a 6 percent increase in retail prices for affected goods.