Thedéen weighs firmer Swedish recovery against inflation risks
RIKSBANK Speech

Thedéen weighs firmer Swedish recovery against inflation risks

Riksbank Governor Erik Thedéen stated that Sweden's economic recovery is gaining traction while warning that inflation exceeded projections over the summer. Speaking in Visby on September 3, 2026, he emphasized the need for vigilance ahead of the policy meeting later this month.

Firming growth meets price bumps

Speaking at Tillväxt Gotland in Visby, Riksbank Governor Erik Thedéen pointed to strengthening domestic activity confirmed by recent GDP figures and the Economic Tendency Survey.

He noted that the upturn observed during the August rate meeting is now on firmer ground.

However, inflation over the summer exceeded the central bank's June forecast, driven by uncertain supply shock effects on consumer prices.

“So far we do not see any clear signs of a lasting, broad upturn in inflation, but we must have a high level of vigilance with regard to rising inflation,” Thedéen stated.

He noted that policymakers will review all incoming indicators before their rate meeting in Gothenburg.

Labor slack provides breathing room

Thedéen highlighted that inflation risks remain complex due to conditions in the domestic labor market.

Spare capacity among workers suggests economic growth could strengthen without generating immediate inflationary pressures.

The Riksbank plans to evaluate these conflicting dynamics ahead of its Gothenburg gathering in three weeks, assessing how incoming indicators alter the broader economic and monetary outlook.

A calculated holding pattern

Thedéen keeps all policy options open without committing to a specific rate path.

Relying on labor market slack allows the central bank to look past summer price spikes for now.

This leaves the Gothenburg gathering as an entirely open decision driven strictly by incoming data.

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