Villeroy de Galhau: Inflation controlled, warns on debt, digital euro
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Villeroy de Galhau: Inflation controlled, warns on debt, digital euro

Banque de France Governor François Villeroy de Galhau reported that French inflation fell to 1.1 percent in February 2026, with euro area inflation reaching 1.9 percent. He highlighted challenges including public debt, potential growth, and the development of a European digital currency.

Inflation's victory, but new shocks

Banque de France Governor François Villeroy de Galhau announced a significant victory against inflation, with French headline inflation falling to 1.1 percent in February 2026 and euro area inflation reaching 1.9 percent.

This disinflation allowed for four additional rate cuts in 2025, totaling 100 basis points, bringing the main key rate to 2 percent.

The Governor noted that monetary policy remains more accommodative than the Fed's, with lower rates and a larger securities portfolio.

However, he cautioned that the 'Iran shock' introduces new challenges, implying slightly higher inflation and reduced growth.

The report highlights that the return of inflation to target was achieved without triggering a recession, despite high uncertainty, thanks to credible monetary policy and clear communication from Eurosystem central banks.

Debt, growth, and simplification

Beyond inflation, the Banque de France identifies critical structural challenges for the French economy.

Public debt remains a major concern, with an additional €70 billion in annual interest payments projected after ten years, stifling both the budget and economic financing.

France's potential growth has significantly declined, from 2 percent in 2000 to 1.1 percent today, lagging behind the United States' 2.2 percent.

The report advocates for solutions outlined in the Draghi and Letta reports, emphasizing deeper single market integration, improved investment through a Savings and Investment Union, and faster innovation via domestic simplification.

This simplification aims to foster effective innovation without resorting to deregulation.

A legacy of stability, a future of challenges

This annual report marks a pivotal moment, not only for its economic assessment but also as Governor Villeroy de Galhau's final foreword.

His emphasis on balancing inflation control with structural reforms and digital innovation underscores a forward-looking legacy.

However, the persistent warnings on debt and growth highlight that France's economic journey remains fraught with significant, unresolved challenges for his successor.

Source: Banque de France Annual Report 2025

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