French SME repayment capacity weakens as turnover growth stalls
BDF Paper

French SME repayment capacity weakens as turnover growth stalls

French small and intermediate enterprises faced deteriorating credit repayment capacity in 2025 despite solid profit shares and stable cash reserves, according to Banque de France tax data. Sluggish turnover growth and lagged interest rate relief contributed to rating downgrades.

Sluggish sales erode credit standing

Analysis of 1.5 million corporate balance sheets from the FIBEN database shows that top Banque de France credit ratings fell across all firm sizes in 2025.

Only 58 percent of intermediate-sized enterprises (ISEs) held top ratings, down from 68 percent in 2022, while top ratings among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) dropped to 58 percent.

Turnover grew by just 1.5 percent for SMEs and 1.2 percent for ISEs, both well below historical averages of 4.2 percent and 3.6 percent.

Concurrently, very vulnerable firms rated 6 to 8 expanded for a fifth consecutive year, reaching 8.4 percent of ISEs, with severe strain concentrated in transport and construction.

Asymmetric relief across company sizes

Monetary policy easing filtered unevenly through company balance sheets.

Although new loan rates fell by 61 basis points for SMEs and 57 basis points for ISEs, actual debt servicing costs diverged.

The apparent debt cost dropped sharply for ISEs, with 67 percent reporting reductions due to greater use of market debt and variable-rate loans.

In contrast, borrowing costs for SMEs rose slightly as fixed-rate bank debt rolls over slowly.

Meanwhile, median liquidity remained above pre-crisis levels, standing at 50 days of turnover for SMEs and 52 days for ISEs.

A fragile buffer against stagnation

Headline resilience masks mounting fragility among smaller French enterprises.

Fixed-rate debt structures severely delay monetary relief for SMEs precisely as revenue stagnation drains operational headroom.

Absent a broader demand recovery, lingering cash buffers will merely postpone restructuring rather than prevent it.

Report an error