Schnabel draws lessons from recurrent inflation shocks
BIS Speech

Schnabel draws lessons from recurrent inflation shocks

European Central Bank Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel reflects on seven years of monetary policy upheaval. Speaking in Frankfurt, she contrasts persistent low inflation with recurrent shocks and growing geopolitical fragmentation.

Seven years of upheaval

Schnabel describes three changes that have shaped her thinking about monetary policy over the past seven years.

Inflation moved from persistently too low to a pattern of recurrent inflationary shocks.

The European Central Bank (ECB) moved from a deeply accommodative stance to what she describes as its fastest tightening cycle.

Meanwhile, a deeply integrated global economy became increasingly shaped by fragmentation and geopolitical tensions.

As she approaches the end of her time at the ECB, Schnabel frames these experiences as lessons for conducting policy in a less predictable world.

Her remarks are personal reflections on recent experience and the challenges ahead, rather than a policy decision.

Four takeaways beyond the excerpt

The supplied opening announces four key takeaways but does not include their substance.

It identifies the occasion as the ECB Conference on Money Markets 2026 in Frankfurt am Main on November 5, 2026.

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) page lists November 10, 2026 as the delivery date and links to a 13-page PDF.

The BIS states that the views expressed belong to Schnabel and do not necessarily reflect its own.

The excerpt contains no rate proposal, inflation forecast or guidance on the next policy decision.

Reflection rather than guidance

Schnabel frames recent policy experience around recurrent shocks and a less integrated global economy.

The opening establishes the questions behind her reflections, not the answers to them.

The four announced takeaways are absent from the supplied excerpt.

Source: Navigating stormy waters - reflections on monetary policy

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