Japanese households see one-year price rises easing to 11.8 percent
BOJ Data

Japanese households see one-year price rises easing to 11.8 percent

Japanese households anticipate prices rising 11.8 percent over the next year, down from 13.1 percent in June. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) published its 107th public opinion survey, conducted in September 2026, on October 13, 2026.

Price expectations ease, medians hold

The trimmed mean anticipated annual price increase over the next five years fell to 10.1 percent from 10.8 percent in June.

Median expectations remained at 10.0 percent for one year and 5.0 percent for five years.

Overall, 88.6 percent anticipated higher prices one year ahead, compared with 90.4 percent in June.

Respondents perceived prices as having risen 16.2 percent over the preceding year, down from 16.5 percent; the median remained 10.0 percent.

Among those reporting price increases, 84.9 percent viewed them unfavorably.

The BoJ excludes the highest and lowest 0.5 percent of numerical responses when calculating these means.

Untrimmed means were 12.3 percent for one-year expectations and 10.9 percent for five-year annual expectations.

Higher bills, strained households

Economic conditions had worsened for 58.2 percent, down from 62.5 percent in June; the economic conditions diffusion index improved to minus 53.0 percentage points from minus 56.7. Household circumstances had worsened for 54.4 percent, with 91.4 percent of that group citing rising prices.

Income increased for 19.3 percent and decreased for 24.7 percent, taking the income index to a survey high of minus 5.4 points.

Spending increased for 58.0 percent; 87.7 percent of that group cited higher costs.

For the year ahead, 38.8 percent planned spending cuts and 10.5 percent planned increases.

Perceptions, not measured inflation

These figures describe household perceptions and intentions, not measured CPI inflation.

The survey ran from August 3 to September 4, 2026, receiving 1,972 valid responses from 4,000 sampled adults, a 49.3 percent response rate.

Stratified two-stage random sampling covered residents of Japan aged 20 and older.

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