BDIPaper
Hyperscalers have secured a 42 basis point borrowing cost advantage over software firms in U.S. bond markets following the launch of ChatGPT.
BDIPaper
A Banca d'Italia study establishes a framework to generate synthetic unbalanced panel microdata from 13,837 Italian firms observed between 1993 and 2024.
BDIPaper
Persistent divergence in euro area investment growth across 1996–2025 stems from country-specific performance rather than structural asset allocation, according to a Banca d'Italia study.
ECBPaper
An ECB study published in September 2026 finds that real GDP data revisions and forecast errors drive the bulk of euro area output gap adjustments.
ECBPaper
Transformer-based language models capture financial news sentiment far closer to human judgment than traditional lexicon methods, according to an ECB working paper published in September 2026.
ECBPaper
Entropically tilting Bayesian VAR forecasts directly to Survey of Professional Forecasters histograms improves predictive accuracy across US macroeconomic variables.
BDFPaper
A Banque de France survey of 4,000 residents shows perceived inflation averaged 9.5 percent in late 2025, compared with measured inflation of 0.8 percent.
BDIPaper
Banca d'Italia researchers Manuel Cugliari and Giulio Gariano found that integrating large language model sentiment indicators into in-house credit systems sharpens corporate default detection.
ECBPaper
Austrian microenterprises invested 47 cents for every euro of debt service postponed during the pandemic without experiencing higher defaults, an ECB working paper finds.
CBRPaper
Russian monetary conditions remained moderately tight in August as the policy rate held at 14.00 percent.
DNBPaper
A survey of 5,672 Dutch consumers shows that 58 percent maintain the recommended emergency cash buffer of €70 per adult for a 72-hour payment outage.