Broad money rises 12.6 percent as corporate lending accelerates
CBR Data

Broad money rises 12.6 percent as corporate lending accelerates

Russia's broad money supply M2X grew by 0.5 percent in July to 148.6 trillion rubles, lowering annual growth to 12.6 percent, according to Bank of Russia data. Expansion was driven by accelerating corporate credit, while household borrowing cooled.

Corporate borrowing drives credit expansion

Corporate lending rose 2.5 percent month-on-month and 13.9 percent year-on-year to 102.8 trillion rubles, partly reflecting transaction-specific effects.

Total credit to the economy expanded 1.7 percent in July to 164.6 trillion rubles, lifting the annual growth rate to 10.6 percent from 9.9 percent in June.

In contrast, retail credit demand moderated, with claims on households rising 0.5 percent over the month to 41.3 trillion rubles compared to 0.9 percent in June.

Mortgage demand cooled following atypical activity in June, though annual retail claim growth reached 6.4 percent.

Banks also expanded holdings of corporate debt securities by 1.2 percent over the month to 8.9 trillion rubles.

Liquidity shifts to cash as term deposits slip

Cash in circulation (M0) increased 2.9 percent in July to 20.4 trillion rubles, bringing its annual growth to 20.2 percent and its share in ruble broad money to 15.0 percent.

Household term deposits contracted 0.3 percent as funds moved into current accounts, though term deposits still represent around 70 percent of total household ruble savings.

Corporate ruble deposit growth slowed to 0.2 percent from 0.9 percent in June, while corporate foreign currency deposits slipped 0.2 percent.

Slower fiscal spending growth reduced the net contribution of government operations relative to June.

Corporate borrowing defies tightening

The data reveals an economy where corporate borrowing remains resilient despite tight monetary conditions, driven by specific transaction structures.

While retail demand is cooling, the acceleration in corporate credit and cash holdings keeps liquidity loose.

This credit momentum complicates the central bank's disinflation path.

Source: Money supply growth remains unchanged in July

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