Danes expect house prices to rise 4.4 percent in a year
Danish residents' median expectation in September was a 4.4 percent rise in local house prices over the next 12 months. Danmarks Nationalbank published the survey's first housing expectations statistics on October 20, 2026.
Stable median masks wider differences
The median house price expectation has remained relatively stable since the survey began in October 2024, but responses have become more dispersed.
The middle half initially ranged from 2 to 6 percent; the latest range is 2 to 8 percent.
The upper quartile reached around 10 percent in early 2026.
Regional expectations for the next 12 months are 4.8 percent in both the Capital Region and Zealand, 4.2 percent in Central Denmark, 3.8 percent in Southern Denmark and 3.0 percent in Northern Denmark.
Higher expectations in the Capital Region have helped raise the highest national expectations over the survey period.
The median of 4.4 percent divides respondents into halves expecting smaller and larger increases in their municipality.
Five tables open to users
Each month, Danmarks Nationalbank asks a sample of Danish residents about income, inflation, interest rates, consumption and house prices.
All five new statistical tables are available in StatBank, with releases introducing each table before the end of 2026.
Each table presents aggregate expectations and four population breakdowns: age, income, gender and region.
The bank links survey responses to register data from Statistics Denmark to produce these breakdowns.
The housing release is the first publication of these house price expectations statistics.
Expectations are not forecasts
The figures describe residents' expectations, not Danmarks Nationalbank's forecast.
A stable median coexists with a wider range of responses and regional differences.
The bank notes that expectations influence how people spend, borrow and invest.