Danmarks Nationalbank highlights Greenlandic economic slowdown and fiscal pressures
DKNB Paper Auf Deutsch lesen

Danmarks Nationalbank highlights Greenlandic economic slowdown and fiscal pressures

Danmarks Nationalbank reports a slowdown in the Greenlandic economy, marked by modest growth and significant fiscal challenges. Public finances deteriorated sharply in 2025, necessitating fiscal tightening in the 2026 Finance Act.

Economic headwinds and resource shifts

The Greenlandic economy is experiencing a notable slowdown, characterized by modest growth prospects and mounting pressure on public finances.

This deceleration is primarily attributed to the nearing completion of significant infrastructure projects, particularly airport expansions, which have been a key driver of economic activity.

Concurrently, new major projects in energy supply and other critical sectors, which were anticipated to provide future impetus, have not yet commenced.

This gap in large-scale investment contributes to the current subdued economic environment.

Furthermore, the vital shrimp stocks, a cornerstone of Greenland's fishing industry, are facing a decline, impacting a significant economic pillar.

While cod fishing shows improved performance, it does not fully offset the broader challenges.

These factors collectively contribute to a complex economic landscape that necessitates careful management and strategic planning to mitigate further deceleration and ensure long-term stability.

Fiscal tightening and demographic pressures

Greenland's public finances deteriorated sharply in 2025, leading to a critically low level of liquidity in the Greenland Treasury during the second half of the year.

This rapid decline necessitated immediate action, with the 2026 Finance Act introducing essential fiscal tightening measures to stabilize public funds.

Looking ahead, the economy faces additional structural challenges from demographic shifts.

A declining and ageing population is projected to place further pressure on the economy, impacting both labor supply and the demand for public services.

These long-term trends underscore the need for sustainable fiscal policies and economic diversification to ensure future prosperity and financial resilience.

Navigating a demographic and economic headwind

The confluence of infrastructure project completion and declining natural resources presents a significant economic hurdle for Greenland.

While the fiscal tightening is a necessary immediate response, the underlying demographic challenges of an ageing and shrinking population demand more profound, long-term structural reforms.

Without strategic diversification and robust policy interventions, the path to sustainable growth and fiscal health will remain exceptionally steep.

Source: Slowdown in growth and major challenges ahead

IN: