Bank financing for EU priorities not hindered by rules
DNB Press Auf Deutsch lesen

Bank financing for EU priorities not hindered by rules

A De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) analysis finds that prudential requirements strengthen bank resilience and do not significantly hinder financing for EU green, digital, and defence priorities. Instead, unlocking private capital requires better risk-sharing, deeper financial integration, and stronger European capital markets.

Europe's Trillion-Euro Ambition

The European Union faces a strategic financing challenge, requiring an estimated €1.2 trillion annually—equivalent to 7.5 percent of EU GDP—for its green transition, digitalisation, and defence objectives.

Private financing is projected to cover €690 billion of this amount, with banks expected to play a crucial role given their dominant position in EU corporate finance.

The required investments present diverse risk profiles, maturities, and legal structures.

For relatively straightforward projects with low to moderate risk, traditional corporate lending is well-suited.

More complex or riskier financing needs, such as those for technologies under development or unproven business models, can be met through syndicated loans, project finance, or securitisation, often complemented by public guarantees.

Very high-risk ventures, however, are typically better suited for venture capital and equity financing, where non-bank entities and capital markets are essential providers of risk-bearing capital.

The DNB analysis underscores that banks possess a range of financing structures to support these varied investment types.

Resilience, Not Roadblock

Following the 2008 financial crisis, the prudential framework was reformed to enhance bank resilience and reduce systemic risks.

Measures included higher capital and liquidity requirements, alongside resolution frameworks, contributing to financial stability.

Dutch banks' risk-weighted capital ratios now exceed pre-crisis levels, and the sector's leverage ratio doubled from 3 percent in 2007 to 6 percent in 2025.

Research confirms that better-capitalised banks are more stable and maintain lending during stress.

While prudential regulation influences credit allocation and pricing, particularly for riskier financing, its long-term impact on overall lending rates and growth is limited.

Many European banks hold capital in excess of requirements and distribute dividends, suggesting capital availability is not a material obstacle to lending.

Real Levers for Financing

The DNB's analysis correctly identifies that easing prudential rules would be a misguided approach, offering minimal lending gains while undermining financial stability.

Instead, the focus must shift to structural reforms that foster better risk-sharing and deeper financial integration across Europe.

Strengthening capital markets and leveraging public guarantees are the true levers to unlock the necessary private financing for the EU's strategic priorities.