Banco Central do Brasil
Inflation forecast rises to 5.01 percent as Brazilian growth slows
Financial market analysts raised Brazil's 2026 IPCA inflation forecast to 5.01 percent while cutting GDP growth expectations to 1.85 percent, according to the Banco Central do Brasil's weekly Focus survey published on October 2, 2026.
Focus
2026 inflation forecast rises to 4.99 percent as growth slows
Financial market analysts raised their 2026 IPCA inflation forecast to 4.99 percent while lowering projected GDP growth to 1.86 percent, according to the Banco Central do Brasil's Focus Market Readout published on September 25, 2026.
Selic cut to 13.75 percent as 2026 GDP forecast drops to 1.8 percent
Banco Central do Brasil has lowered the benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 13.75 percent while cutting its 2026 GDP growth projection to 1.8 percent.
Latest
Policy rate cut to 13.75 percent in unanimous vote
The Central Bank of Brazil reduced the Selic policy rate to 13.75 percent at its September meeting.
Inflation expectations for 2026 fall to 4.90 percent
Market analysts lowered Brazil's 2026 inflation forecast to 4.90 percent and trimmed GDP growth to 1.89 percent in the Banco Central do Brasil's Focus survey released on September 11, 2026.
Brazilian 2026 inflation forecast eases to 5.00 percent
Market analysts surveyed by Banco Central do Brasil lowered their 2026 inflation projection to 5.00 percent while holding the year-end Selic interest rate projection at 13.75 percent.
More Topics
Countercyclical capital buffer held at zero percent
The Financial Stability Committee of the Central Bank of Brazil maintained the countercyclical capital buffer at zero percent during its August meeting.
Market trims 2026 inflation projection to 5.01 percent
Financial analysts trimmed Brazil's 2026 inflation projection to 5.01 percent and lowered GDP growth expectations to 1.92 percent, according to the Banco Central do Brasil's Focus survey released on August 28, 2026.
Brazil market expects 2026 inflation at 5.02 percent
Market analysts expect Brazil's IPCA inflation to reach 5.02 percent in 2026, while holding the end-of-year Selic rate projection at 13.75 percent.
Selic rate cut to 14.00 percent despite unanchored inflation
The Central Bank of Brazil cut its benchmark Selic rate to 14.00 percent in a unanimous decision at its August meeting.
Brazil 2026 inflation forecast falls to 5.02 percent
Financial market analysts lowered their 2026 IPCA inflation forecast for Brazil to 5.02 percent, according to the Banco Central do Brasil's Focus Market Readout published on August 7, 2026.
2026 Brazilian inflation forecast falls to 5.03 percent
Financial market analysts lowered Brazil's 2026 IPCA inflation forecast to 5.03 percent from 5.12 percent, according to the Banco Central do Brasil Focus report published July 31, 2026.