European Central Bank
ECBSpeech
Lane links US AI investment boom to higher euro area bond yields
European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip R. Lane stated that rising long-term yields driven by US artificial intelligence investment will weigh on euro area activity.
Focus
ECBPaper
Euro area rate hikes take up to four years to hit euroised Balkans
European Central Bank interest rate changes transmit to Montenegro and Kosovo with a two-to-four-year delay, an ECB study finds.
ECBPaper
Inflation risk term structure reveals persistence of price shocks
Euro area option prices show long-term inflation risks remained anchored between 2009 and 2026, even when two-year deflation probability reached 70 percent.
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ECBSpeech
Lane flags second energy wave as ECB rates reach 2.50 percent
European Central Bank Executive Board member Philip R. Lane stated that raising the policy rate to 2.50 percent was prudent amid a second energy supply shock.
ECBNews
Schnabel joins IMF as Visa Europe designated systemic payment system
The European Central Bank approved Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel's move to the IMF and designated Visa Europe as a systemically important payment system.
ECBSpeech
Lower capital requirements will not boost lending, Vujčić says
ECB Vice-President Boris Vujčić rejected industry calls to lower bank capital requirements, arguing that regulatory capital does not constrain lending.
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ECBDecoder
72 percent of firms rely on internal funds to finance AI
Around 72 percent of euro area businesses planning artificial intelligence investments expect to rely on internal funds rather than external debt.
ECBSpeech
Schnabel outlines tokenised central bank money across DLT networks
ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel presented the Eurosystem's strategy for on-chain wholesale settlement at the Bank of England.
ECBSpeech
Lagarde flags systemic risks from autonomous AI and cyber exploits
European Systemic Risk Board Chair Christine Lagarde warned that autonomous AI agents, automated cyberattacks and geopolitical model concentration pose compounding risks to financial stability, speaking at the ESRB annual conference on October 1, 2026.
ECBPaper
Local linear forests and foreign data sharpen French wage forecasts
Local linear forests reduce French wage forecasting errors by nearly half when combined with cross-border data.
ECBPaper
Purged rate surprises reveal stronger monetary policy transmission
High-frequency interest rate surprises conflate pure policy shocks with central bank information and rule misperceptions, according to an ECB working paper by Marek Jarociński and Peter Karadi covering over 600 Fed events from 1988 to 2025.
ECBSpeech
Lagarde warns of energy risks and French fiscal divergence
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde warned that Middle East conflict and energy supply disruptions pose the main threat to European growth and inflation.