A new Federal Reserve paper evaluates the accuracy of Kalshi, a federally regulated prediction market, for measuring macroeconomic expectations.
A new ECB Occasional Paper assesses the benefits of equity markets and identifies a significant listing gap between the EU and the US.
A new ECB study finds that US tariffs introduced in 2025 led to a decline in Chinese exports to the United States.
Euro area housing investment has bottomed out but a sustained recovery is yet to emerge, declining 0.2 percent in the third quarter of 2025.
A new Bank for International Settlements (BIS) bulletin examines the economic impact of artificial intelligence in emerging market economies.
Standard statistical methods often fail in instrumental variable (IV) regressions with weak instruments, producing misleading results.
A collaboration between the BIS, Deutsche Bundesbank, and ECB, Project Spectrum, developed an AI-driven method to classify web-scraped product data for improved inflation nowcasting.
Elevated electricity prices pose a significant challenge to the European Union's decarbonization strategy and the competitiveness of its energy-intensive industries.
A new report from the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision investigates synthetic risk transfer (SRT) transactions, which allow banks to transfer credit risk while retaining asset ownership.
A new European Central Bank working paper reveals that even very low stigma costs prevent banks from fully utilizing regulatory capital buffers.
A Bank for International Settlements (BIS) working paper reveals how non-US global banks transmit US dollar funding conditions to international housing markets.